Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.304343 0.362286 0.432448 0.525010 0.645985 0.801757 1.022710
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.219278 0.286659 0.379781 0.523131 0.748717 1.110899 1.788032
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169616 0.236134 0.336884 0.510724 0.828008 1.446312 2.969864
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143937 0.210839 0.320165 0.528532 0.965066 2.000817 5.522669
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.121317 0.184059 0.292225 0.513989 1.031024 2.478689 9.212635
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107597 0.168610 0.279191 0.522493 1.154788 3.277849 18.076318
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095354 0.153173 0.262121 0.515764 1.237622 4.094074 35.079624
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087490 0.144114 0.255158 0.529549 1.392553 5.546261 93.871140
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081707 0.137882 0.252412 0.552824 1.602101 7.930064 424.817758
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.076231 0.131320 0.247471 0.568677 1.805054 11.202089 5578.967146
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071755 0.126049 0.244267 0.588609 2.052950 16.556457 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067412 0.120417 0.239082 0.600953 2.288036 24.285291 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063243 0.114724 0.233004 0.609769 2.533620 36.694280 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059036 0.108454 0.224448 0.607730 2.726820 53.925785 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054780 0.101591 0.213246 0.592674 2.826156 73.845347 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052435 0.098703 0.211917 0.614445 3.246418 147.541895 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048911 0.092752 0.201408 0.596695 3.328135 214.444186 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046690 0.089568 0.197987 0.607080 3.702565 481.048835 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044097 0.085254 0.190739 0.598866 3.892760 960.894273 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042468 0.083053 0.189196 0.615704 4.423871 4702.236813 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041256 0.081722 0.189976 0.644203 5.222660 548173.205074 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039884 0.079859 0.188870 0.663662 6.006096 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038707 0.078359 0.188649 0.688181 7.034272 NaN NaN